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Comment on Government response to air pollution
articles
Uncertainty should lead to moderation in regulations or they
will be seen to be unreasonable. There is uncertainty in relation to air
pollutants. The biological plausibility for harm is most consistently
demonstrated in pathophysiological studies testing
SO2, ozone, and
NO2, but epidemiological studies assessing these
three pollutants have also given variable results.
It is difficult to claim causality for the association of a
small excess in mortality with increased levels of ambient
PM10 because of the presence of other pollutants,
the frequent association with cold weather which precipitates acute episodes in
those with cardiac and respiratory disorders, and the fact that most studies do
not reflect the important indoor environment. Given this, claims of a large
estimated number of deaths caused by PM10 appear
alarmist and a misapplication of the statistics.
The social and economic consequences of the current National
Environmental Standards Regulations applying to all urban areas are broad. They
may also have an influence on the redevelopment of Christchurch by focussing
planning in relation to air pollution away from the important influences of
industry and transport.
Currie and Hunt1 give very
confident support to the PM10 theory. Their
confidence is not shared by Paul Solomon,2 U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Chair 2010 AAAR Air Pollution and Health
Conference. “Although associations have been identified between
pollutants....(CO, Lead, NO2 ,
PM2.5, PM10, ozone
and SO2)....and adverse health effects,
considerable uncertainty remains regarding....approaches to understanding
relationships between air pollution and health effects....which components and
sources are most toxic...the mechanisms of actions of the pollutants and causal
relationships....This holds true especially for PM because it is composed of
many components with significant spatial and temporal variation.”
Our government's efforts to improve domestic insulation are
to be applauded. The enforced replacement of older wood burners with new ones
may be an expense with little public benefit and conversion to electrical
heating may reduce our energy security. Unfortunately the current regulations in
relation to PM10 make these changes
inevitable.
In relation to the causation of ill-health by
PM10 questions concerning biological
plausibility, the strength of the association and alternative explanations
remain. As a consequence it must be doubtful whether the regulations are
reasonable, their basis robust, and whether some of the costs which follow from
them are justified.
References:
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