Performance of Framingham cardiovascular risk scores by ethnic groups in New Zealand: PREDICT CVD-10
Tania Riddell, Sue Wells, Rod Jackson, Ai-Wei Lee, Sue Crengle, Dale Bramley, Shanthi Ameratunga, Romana Pylypchuk, Joanna Broad, Roger Marshall, Andrew Kerr
Estimating a patients cardiovascular risk is important to help target whether they require treatment or not. The Framingham risk score is based on a medical research done over 30 years ago on about 5000 mainly white, middle-class North Americans from Framingham, Massachusetts. This original score was modified by the New Zealand Guidelines Group to compensate for those ethnic groups collectively considered to be at higher risk (M ori, Pacific and Indian). The adjustment was successful in making up for the underestimation of risk for people in these ethnic groups. However, it was crude and the adjustment made was too large across all the groups. We require further time and research to refine cardiovascular risk prediction scores that are more accurate for M ori, Pacific and Indian peoples.