Continued mitigation needed to minimise the high health burden from COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand
Michael G Baker, Amanda Kvalsvig, Michael J Plank, Jemma L Geoghegan, Teresa Wall, Collin Tukuitonga, Jennifer Summers, Julie Bennett, John Kerr, Nikki Turner, Sally Roberts, Kelvin Ward, Bryan Betty, Q Sue Huang, Nigel French, Nick Wilson
The next phase of the COVID-19 pandemic response should integrate control of this disease into a comprehensive respiratory infectious disease mitigation strategy that also covers influenza and other serious respiratory infections. This combined approach would increase the effectiveness and efficiency of the response. This is the view of 16 leading New Zealand scientists and doctors who have worked actively on the pandemic response. They have written the most comprehensive summary of the pandemic published so far, covering the first three and half years. They note that the pandemic has not gone away and remains an important cause of illness, hospitalisation, long Covid and death (it is currently New Zealand’s number one infectious disease killer ahead of influenza), so needs a continuing, strong, evidence-based response. The authors conclude that New Zealand delivered amongst the best pandemic responses in the world, keeping cumulative excess deaths close to zero, and saving an estimated 20,000 lives compared with the mortality rate seen in countries like the United States. Remarkably, it did this using restrictions that were amongst the lowest used by high-income countries (the average stringency of control measures in New Zealand was less than in Sweden, for example). They hope that future Governments will build on this world-leading response which offers a high degree of health protection for severe future pandemics.